Wednesday, 23 July 2008

I want to be a futurologist

Now this is a great job. Went to an exhibition a while ago and one of the speakers was a futurologist which to be honest I didn’t realise was a full time job but this guy made a good living out of it. Wikipedia describes the role as one who speculates about the future, so no surprises there but they do think outside the box and take technologies or potential technologies and expand their possibilities in ways which seem logical but which I don’t think I would have come up with given the base information. Some of the scary things were cellphones or computers embedded in the skin and passing information between people as they walk down the street.
For most of us in the real IT world this is interesting stuff but not that relevant because of the timescales for some of the predictions to come into the mainstream, although for some businesses, particularly those that in the production world have lengthy development cycles, this type of work may be crucial.
Futurologists claim about a 75-85% success rate but one of the things I liked about the job is that it is difficult to prove you wrong because by the time your predications would have come to fruition you may well be retired.
Not like a CIO of today where you are judged on performance in relatively short timescales!

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